Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 1-3
Moto Club MA vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
MOT
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
MOT
25%
25%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 1
MOT
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
MOT
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ARN
0 - 0
JAC
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 1
ARN
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
ARN
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
ARN
8 - 1
CRA
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |