Moto Club MA vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
MOT
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
PAL
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 0
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
IMP
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOT
42%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
4 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
4DE
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 0
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
4DE
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
4DE
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |