Motilla CF vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 4
MOT
11%
18%
72%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 2
CDB
46%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PED
1 - 2
MOT
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 2
ALM
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 2
MOT
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UDC
3 - 2
ALC
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 1
UDC
46%
25%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDC
0 - 2
CAM
42%
23%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
UDC
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 1
SOC
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |