Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-4
Motilla CF vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 0
MOT
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MOT
2 - 4
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
AZU
2 - 0
MOT
33%
28%
39%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
3 - 3
MOT
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
MOT
1 - 2
MAN
77%
16%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 0
MOT
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
VIL
1 - 2
GIM
29%
28%
43%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 0
ALM
82%
13%
6%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
3 - 3
MOT
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
DAI
2 - 1
GIM
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |