Motherwell vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 1
MHE
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
MHE
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
KIL
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
STM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
STM
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |