Motherwell vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 1
MHE
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
KIL
0 - 0
MHE
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
MHE
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
STM
1 - 1
HIB
33%
30%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
STM
1 - 2
GLA
23%
28%
50%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ICT
2 - 1
STM
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 0
STM
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
STM
1 - 0
CEL
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +2 |