Motherwell vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
8º
31
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
MHE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
3 - 3
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
79%
14%
8%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MHE
1 - 2
HOM
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 2
MHE
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 3
CEL
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 0
STJ
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
ROS
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 2
MHE
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |