Motherwell vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
GRE
5 - 0
MHE
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
CEL
3 - 1
MHE
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1951 |
STM
3 - 0
MHE
40%
24%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
PAR
1 - 1
MHE
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1951 |
MHE
4 - 1
PAR
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
STM
2 - 0
RAI
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
HIB
3 - 0
RAI
70%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1951 |
DUN
2 - 0
RAI
65%
19%
17%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
HOM
3 - 1
RAI
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
RAI
4 - 1
CLY
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |