Motherwell vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 3
ABE
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 2
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
MHE
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
HIB
39%
26%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LIV
3 - 1
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
HIB
2 - 2
LIV
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |