Motherwell vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
MHE
2 - 1
ICT
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
STM
0 - 1
MHE
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 0
MHE
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
MHE
2 - 3
STM
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
DUN
4 - 1
MHE
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
KIL
2 - 1
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CEL
0 - 0
KIL
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GLA
0 - 1
KIL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |