Motherwell vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
MHE
1 - 0
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
MHE
2 - 1
GLA
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
DUN
2 - 1
MHE
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 2
CEL
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 0
KIL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
KIL
3 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 1
KIL
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
ABE
0 - 0
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |