Motherwell vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
MHE
0 - 1
GLA
23%
25%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
RAI
0 - 3
MHE
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
MHE
2 - 2
ABE
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
KIL
1 - 4
GLA
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ABE
3 - 0
KIL
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
KIL
2 - 2
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
KIL
1 - 3
CEL
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
3 - 2
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |