Motherwell vs Hibernian FC analysis

Motherwell Hibernian FC
65 ELO 73
11.1% Tilt -2.1%
812º General ELO ranking 497º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.9%
Motherwell
26.7%
Draw
39.5%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
Motherwell
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.5%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Motherwell
+7%
-10%
Hibernian FC

Points and table prediction

Motherwell
Their league position
Hibernian FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
92
92
100%
Rangers
79
80
100%
Aberdeen
50
51
100%
Heart of Midlothian
48
48
100%
Hibernian FC
44
44
100%
St. Mirren
44
44
100%
Livingston
42
42
100%
Motherwell
37
37
100%
St. Johnstone
33
33
100%
Dundee United
10º
31
31
10º
0%
Kilmarnock
11º
31
31
11º
0%
Ross County FC
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Motherwell
Hibernian FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Motherwell
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
48%
27%
26%
66 70 4 0
28 Dec. 2022
GLA
Rangers
3 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
72%
17%
10%
66 80 14 0
23 Dec. 2022
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
51%
26%
23%
66 66 0 0
09 Dec. 2022
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
4 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
85%
11%
4%
66 90 24 0
12 Nov. 2022
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
40%
29%
31%
66 69 3 0

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
3 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
48%
25%
27%
73 73 0 0
28 Dec. 2022
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 4
Celtic
CEL
22%
23%
56%
74 81 7 -1
24 Dec. 2022
HIB
Hibernian FC
4 - 0
Livingston
LIV
46%
27%
28%
73 71 2 +1
15 Dec. 2022
GLA
Rangers
3 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
62%
21%
17%
73 79 6 0
08 Dec. 2022
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
69%
19%
12%
74 59 15 -1
X