Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1951 |
MHE
3 - 2
RAI
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
GRE
5 - 0
MHE
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
CEL
3 - 1
MHE
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1951 |
STM
3 - 0
MHE
40%
24%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
PAR
1 - 1
MHE
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
HOM
0 - 1
GLA
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1951 |
HOM
4 - 1
ABE
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
AIR
2 - 3
HOM
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
HOM
3 - 1
RAI
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |