Motherwell vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MHE
1 - 1
LIV
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
MHE
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ABE
0 - 3
MHE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MHE
1 - 1
GLA
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
MHE
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
STJ
3 - 2
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 3
KIL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |