Motherwell vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
9.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
PAR
3 - 0
MHE
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1938 |
MHE
3 - 1
STJ
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
MHE
1 - 1
DUN
60%
18%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
MHE
1 - 0
HIB
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
FAL
0 - 1
MHE
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
CEL
1 - 1
AYR
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
AYR
1 - 1
HIB
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
TLA
2 - 2
AYR
65%
17%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
STM
1 - 2
AYR
59%
18%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
AYR
2 - 4
HOM
28%
21%
52%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |