Motema Pembe vs Diables Noirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.7%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASE
0 - 0
MOT
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
REN
0 - 2
MOT
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 1
ASK
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
TSH
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Diables Noirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DIA
3 - 0
RIV
8%
17%
76%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DIA
1 - 1
AOD
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MOK
0 - 0
DIA
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIA
3 - 0
JUK
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ETO
2 - 1
DIA
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |