Mostovik Primorye vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mostovik Primorye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MOP
1 - 0
AMU
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
MOP
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 1
MOP
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MOP
5 - 0
YAK
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOP
4 - 0
SAK
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +4 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SME
2 - 2
IRT
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SME
2 - 1
DIN
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 0
SME
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
SME
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SME
1 - 0
KUK
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |