Móstoles vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SSR
1 - 1
MST
63%
23%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MST
0 - 1
VEC
26%
28%
46%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ULP
3 - 1
MST
63%
23%
14%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MST
2 - 0
LAN
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
RAY
1 - 0
MST
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NEG
0 - 0
FUE
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PON
6 - 0
NEG
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
NEG
3 - 0
MEL
27%
28%
45%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 0
NEG
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
NEG
0 - 1
RSI
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |