Móstoles vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
30%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
ATB
1 - 1
MST
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
MST
1 - 1
SPB
43%
28%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
PON
1 - 0
MST
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
MST
1 - 1
PEG
57%
25%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MST
2 - 1
CDO
40%
33%
27%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDO
59%
25%
16%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
ALC
1 - 3
AVI
38%
32%
30%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
AVI
1 - 1
LEG
55%
27%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
CFP
1 - 1
AVI
46%
30%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
AVI
2 - 1
PON
53%
26%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |