Móstoles vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
AVI
2 - 0
MST
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
MST
3 - 1
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
MST
3 - 0
ROB
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
COL
4 - 0
MST
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
AVI
0 - 1
MST
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
ATB
42%
29%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
UDL
4 - 2
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
6 - 0
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
COR
3 - 0
LUG
28%
32%
40%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -3 |