Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
Móstoles vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MST
0 - 0
PON
48%
29%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
PEG
1 - 0
MST
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CDO
2 - 1
MST
56%
26%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
FUE
2 - 2
MST
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MST
0 - 0
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
FUE
1 - 0
NAV
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
COL
0 - 1
FUE
58%
23%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
FUE
4 - 0
STA
83%
13%
5%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
FUE
2 - 2
MST
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SSR
0 - 1
FUE
47%
27%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |