Móstoles vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PEG
1 - 0
MST
29%
26%
44%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MST
3 - 0
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MST
2 - 2
ATM
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
RMC
1 - 0
MST
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
MST
0 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
0 - 2
STA
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
0 - 0
GET
21%
22%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
RVB
1 - 0
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
0 - 1
COL
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
ARG
0 - 2
NAV
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |