Móstoles vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
26.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
MST
0 - 1
ALC
80%
15%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
VAL
1 - 1
MST
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
MST
1 - 1
TRJ
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
NAV
2 - 0
MST
20%
27%
53%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
MST
1 - 1
COL
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
CDO
1 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ALC
0 - 0
AVI
43%
29%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CUL
0 - 0
ALC
47%
29%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ALC
0 - 0
LEG
42%
31%
28%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
UPL
1 - 1
ALC
41%
29%
30%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |