Móstoles CF vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 1
CDF
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COS
2 - 3
MOS
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 2
IDM
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 1
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 2
MOS
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARG
2 - 1
ARA
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 2
URS
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VLO
2 - 0
ARA
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
CLA
62%
20%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 3
ARA
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |