Móstoles CF vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 1
MOS
21%
24%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 2
PAR
28%
23%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MOS
40%
27%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
RMC
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 0
RVM
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDF
4 - 3
ALA
29%
25%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VLO
0 - 1
CDF
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 3
ADP
12%
20%
69%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 0
CLA
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 1
CDF
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |