CDE Madrid 2021 vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
16º
15º
37
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RVB
2 - 2
CDE
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
GAL
55%
23%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LRZ
2 - 1
CDE
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
URS
1 - 1
CDE
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RVB
0 - 1
VAL
40%
25%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
GAL
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LRZ
4 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |