CDE Madrid 2021 vs Sitio de Aranjuez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CMP
0 - 3
CDE
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
3 - 3
YEB
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 0
CDE
46%
27%
28%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
CDE
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 2
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sitio de Aranjuez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 2
NAV
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAR
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
VLO
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
SAR
68%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
ARG
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |