CDE Madrid 2021 vs CD Ursaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
16º
15º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDE
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 1
TRJ
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
CDE
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
CVI
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
CDE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
URS
5 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
URS
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
URS
3 - 0
RVB
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 2
URS
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
URS
2 - 2
LRZ
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |