CDE Madrid 2021 vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDE
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 3
ARA
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 1
CDE
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 2
CAM
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
YEB
1 - 2
CDE
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 1
ALA
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
ARG
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 5
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VLO
1 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 2
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |