CDE Madrid 2021 vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
16º
15º
47
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
URS
1 - 1
CDE
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 1
ALC
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRJ
0 - 0
CDE
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CDM
30%
26%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
ARA
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
LRZ
37%
27%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |