Mosta vs Xewkija Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 2
MOS
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 1
TAR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MSI
0 - 1
MOS
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
MOS
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 0
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Xewkija Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
XEW
3 - 0
SEN
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |