Mosta vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
HIB
3 - 2
MOS
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
QOR
1 - 4
MOS
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MOS
5 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 1
MOS
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 2
MQA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
HIB
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
VAL
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 4
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |