Mosta vs Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
SLI
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GZI
2 - 1
MOS
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 4
HAM
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 0
VAL
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SLI
3 - 1
SLU
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 1
SIR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GUD
0 - 4
SLU
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 0
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |