Mosta vs Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
4º
15
12º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ZEB
0 - 5
MOS
13%
21%
66%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 3
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 2
MOS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
BIR
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 2
HAM
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 1
HAM
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
SLU
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
FLO
13%
24%
63%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
SLU
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
PIE
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |