Mosta vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HIB
1 - 4
MOS
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 3
BAL
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 1
MOS
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 2
SLI
49%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 3
MOS
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAX
1 - 5
PAT
42%
24%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
NAX
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NAX
0 - 5
TAR
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAX
0 - 1
FLO
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HIB
4 - 1
NAX
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |