Mosta vs Melita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
QOR
2 - 1
MOS
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BIR
7 - 1
MOS
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
MOS
1 - 3
TAR
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 2
MOS
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 0
BAL
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 3
TAR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FLO
0 - 0
MEL
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 4
BAL
43%
25%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 1
MEL
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
SLI
27%
26%
46%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |