Mosta vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
MOS
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
MOS
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 3
SLI
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
MOS
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 0
GUD
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SLI
0 - 1
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
SIR
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUD
1 - 1
MAR
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 1
NAX
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |