Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
VAL
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
GZI
2 - 0
MOS
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NAX
2 - 1
MOS
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SLI
2 - 0
MOS
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
BIR
50%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
FLO
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 1
ZAB
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
HAM
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
KFB
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |