Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
MOS
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 1
VAL
42%
23%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
HAM
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 0
SIR
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GUD
0 - 4
HAM
17%
24%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
GUD
70%
18%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |