Mosta vs Floriana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
4º
37
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
SWI
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 2
MOS
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
4 - 0
PIE
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 3
MOS
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 1
HAM
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
FLO
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 2
BIR
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 1
SLU
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
SIR
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |