Mosta vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 0
MOS
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 4
HIB
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 0
MOS
75%
18%
8%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 2
SLI
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
PIE
3 - 1
MOS
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HIB
2 - 1
BIR
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 0
SLI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
HAM
2 - 1
BIR
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAI
2 - 0
BIR
14%
23%
64%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |