Mosta vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LIJ
1 - 5
MOS
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 1
VAL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 1
SLI
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
MOS
2 - 1
MQA
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NAX
2 - 0
MOS
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
BIR
4 - 0
GZI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FLO
0 - 2
BIR
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
HAM
0 - 1
BIR
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SLU
0 - 5
BIR
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
BIR
2 - 0
SAI
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |