Mosta vs Balzan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BIR
6 - 3
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 3
PAT
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 0
MOS
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 0
TAR
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 1
MOS
29%
24%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLO
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
BIR
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SLI
0 - 2
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
QOR
0 - 5
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |