Mostecký vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mostecký
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UST
4 - 2
MOS
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 4
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
7 - 0
MOS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 2
ZEN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ZNO
1 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
4 - 0
VJI
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ZLI
0 - 0
SLO
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 0
OPA
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
2 - 5
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 2
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |