Moss vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EGE
2 - 2
MOS
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
SJI
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 3
MOS
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
ODD
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKA
4 - 0
MOS
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
FKA
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ULL
0 - 0
VAR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FFC
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORN
1 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
KVI
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |