Moss vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
TRO
3 - 1
MOS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
FYL
1 - 0
MOS
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MOS
0 - 2
BBS
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
KON
3 - 0
MOS
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
MOS
2 - 4
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
VIF
2 - 0
FYL
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
KON
3 - 0
VIF
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
VIF
4 - 1
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
RBK
4 - 1
VIF
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
VIF
2 - 3
TRO
36%
27%
36%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |