Moss vs Tromsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
MOS
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
KON
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 1
BOG
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BRY
1 - 5
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
MOS
3 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
SOG
26%
24%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ELP
2 - 2
TRO
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 0
HAU
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
POR
3 - 1
TRO
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 2
KON
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |