Moss vs Tromsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
STB
3 - 1
MOS
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
MOS
3 - 0
KON
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
HOD
1 - 0
MOS
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
MOS
4 - 1
HON
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
MAN
5 - 1
MOS
46%
24%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
HOD
7 - 1
TRO
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 3
MAN
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
TRO
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 1
STR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
SKE
6 - 0
TRO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |