Moss vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LOV
1 - 2
MOS
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MOS
2 - 0
RAU
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 2
MOS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MOS
0 - 0
MFK
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
HAU
2 - 2
MOS
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SOG
1 - 1
NOT
62%
20%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SOG
0 - 2
LOV
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
RAU
3 - 2
SOG
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SOG
1 - 2
BRY
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MFK
2 - 1
SOG
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |